Taylor's Rule Estimating where interest rates should be. According to Taylor's Rule, the Prime Interest Rates should currently be : (a) "neutral" Real Prime Rate (average September 1989 - July 1995; 1999 - 2007) (b) Expected CPI inflation: 3Q 2011 (c) 0.5 x (Current CPI - CPI "target") = 0.5 x (3.7% - 4.5%) (d) 0.5 x (Output "Gap") = 0.5 x (-2.2%) Target Prime Interest Rate: Current Prime Interest Rate: 01 September 2010 Comment: The current outlook for inflation and the slow recovery in the economy could still mean another 0.5% interest rate cut this month, prime falling to 9.5%, according to a simple Taylor rule.
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Monday, September 6, 2010
Taylor's Rule for calculating prime interest rate
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